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Published 7 Jul 2026, 13:20 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC
CrediBULL Crypto
@CredibleCrypto
In reply to · 7 Jul 2026, 09:22 UTC · context given to the AI
Right, so at the risk of wrath: devil's advocate. Off the bat: I don't have your experience, so I understand your point that if you haven't been around long enough, you don't know what is possible. And I do think that RR here is much better than at the highs 😀. I don't see you making many counterpoints to your analysis. E.g. what if I am wrong in my thesis and what would I see then? What if the accumulation range is a (wyckoff) distribution range... what if the move down to the range lows in usd pair is an impulse, not a correction.... what if ETF are not institutional interest, but just another tradfi dilution of crypto market behavior. Genuinely interested in your insights.Wyckoff distribution doesn’t look like the range we have. We have a deviation below the range lows and subsequent reclaim and lower highs, with range highs untapped. This is not what a distribution structure looks like (it would look the opposite). In the broader context, crypto marketcap right now is like 1% of global equities, down 50% from the highs, with OI nuked ever since October 10th. We don’t have data on how much of ETH is being HODLd but the amount of BTC being HODLd is at record highs at over 80%. Every which way you look at it, the market is screaming higher prices, soon, and ETH is poised for that environment. If I’m wrong then I’m wrong- none of the data I am seeing points to that being the case though. Worst case ETH goes even lower before the reversal, that’s it.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
Uses only text available at publication time
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