Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,502 at 7 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $61,831 at 8 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 61830.69 / 63501.5 − 1 = -2.63%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.63% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology