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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2076010221277794559:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 Jul 2026, 18:26 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$BTC sometimes I forget to zoom out and just check the 1d. We're still above the range low (60k) and chopping along the bottom. For me, true acceptance is going to be above 67k, or the Point of Control (PoC), the highest volume line near there. Still cautiously bullish https://t.co/Rk9mFszV89

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,282 at 11 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,109 at 12 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 64109.19 / 64281.99 − 1 = -0.27%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.27% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC sometimes I forget to zoom out and just check the 1d.”
Confidence: 70%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$64,282

Evaluation price

$64,109

Move

-0.27%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 20:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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