Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 Jul 2026, 20:29 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

In reply to · 11 Jul 2026, 20:25 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC 700M worth of shorts will get f*cked if BTC reaches 65.7K. Not sure about you but... If we were genuinely going to 54K, I would make sure to take out them shorts first. https://t.co/Y4W9HUenwX

@KillaXBT It’s going there first. That’s my target as well, well $65,500

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,337 at 11 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,162 at 12 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 64161.74 / 64337.11 − 1 = -0.27%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.27% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@KillaXBT It’s going there first. That’s my target as well, well $65,500”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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AI interpretation

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