Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 12 Jul 2026, 21:12 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Despite the fact that the #Bitcoin dominance is still at 59%, I'm under the thesis that it's downtrending. Why? Clearly the trend has flipped since the breakdown in the Summer of last year, however, no follow-through has happened. As Clarity comes up and there's clearly more strength in $ETH rather than $BTC, I'm not surprised to see this fall to sub 55%.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“#Ethereum looks more bullish than #Bitcoin at this point. I expect to see this one continue to break upwards and to run all the way towards $2,400+ to reverse the trend. This period reminds me of the period we've witnessed in June of '25, just before the big breakout. https://t.co/eBr71LWjro”Repeat12 Jul 2026, 15:30 UTC
“@QuintenFrancois It's one of the best assets to buy at this point, yet, nobody wants to do that.”Repeat12 Jul 2026, 17:21 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “As Clarity comes up and there's clearly more strength in $ETH rather than $BTC, I'm not surprised to see this fall to sub 55%.”
Confidence: 62%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

Same 24h episode

AI interpretation

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