Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,025 at 13 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,481 at 14 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 62481 / 64024.78 − 1 = -2.41%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.41% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology