Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,781 at 14 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,864 at 15 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC.
3. r = 1863.53 / 1780.76 − 1 = +4.65%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -4.65% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology