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Published 14 Jul 2026, 17:12 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Quoting · 14 Jul 2026, 16:35 UTC · context given to the AI
BREAKING: Kalshi traders forecast Bitcoin will crash to $49,000 this year https://t.co/SksFKT3zRh#Bitcoin / $BTC Said it yesterday, but worth saying again after Warsh's speech: - Bounce to the low 70s over the next month - Chop for a bit - Wick down to the high 30s / low 40s in Sept / Oct - Print the bottom for the bear market - Begin the climb to new ATHs https://t.co/s1TgfsiLuR https://t.co/B0HEOxVMi7View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63070.02 / 64586.36 − 1 = -2.35%d × r = -2.35% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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