Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,874 at 14 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,923 at 15 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 1922.91 / 1873.69 − 1 = +2.63%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.63% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology