Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $77.82 at 15 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77.23 at 16 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 77.23 / 77.82 − 1 = -0.76%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.76% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology