Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,679 at 15 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,200 at 16 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 64200 / 64679.33 − 1 = -0.74%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.74% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology