Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $65,003 at 15 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,030 at 16 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 64030.16 / 65002.61 − 1 = -1.50%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.50% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology