Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,174 at 16 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $63,006 at 15 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 63005.66 / 64174.25 − 1 = -1.82%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.82% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology