Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,322 at 16 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,092 at 17 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 63092.11 / 64322.26 − 1 = -1.91%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.91% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology