Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,881 at 16 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,823 at 17 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 1823.42 / 1880.83 − 1 = -3.05%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.05% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology