Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $66,510 at 21 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $66,205 at 22 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 66204.83 / 66510.09 − 1 = -0.46%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.46% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology