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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2080262883154227226:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Jul 2026, 12:04 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$BTC it's still chop city and we're still in a range. I don't really expect a strong break with this current price action; would rather see price make some nasty move down first and then reverse. https://t.co/334Jv9ehPO

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $65,123 at 23 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,716 at 24 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 64715.97 / 65123.03 − 1 = -0.63%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.63% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC it's still chop city and we're still in a range.”
Confidence: 83%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$65,123

Evaluation price

$64,716

Move

-0.63%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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