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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2081085574103089586:ethereum

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 Jul 2026, 18:34 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

The pumps are good on $BTC ethereum:native As i said this morning, i will be looking for shorts on rejections higher

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,874 at 25 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,913 at 26 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 1912.74 / 1873.7 − 1 = +2.08%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.08% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “The pumps are good on $BTC ethereum:native”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$1,874

Evaluation price

$1,913

Move

+2.08%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 00:16 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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