Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Jul 2026, 14:08 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

BIG NEWS: Iran says it will pause their attacks as long as the United States stops with its military operations. This is a great sign for the #Bitcoin and #Crypto markets and should fuel a green week ahead of us.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“#Bitcoin continues to hold above the crucial 21-Day and 50-Day MA's. This is a strong signal for the markets to be betting on the long side of this asset, however, it's still a little fragile. I'd much prefer to see a strong move to $66,000-67,000 over the next 1-3 days to see a continuous bid coming in. Wednesday: FOMC meeting, usually a risk-off appetite prior to the event and then a risk-on appetite after. If $67,000 breaks, the path towards $73,000-75,000 seems imminent.”Repeat27 Jul 2026, 11:14 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 7 days (stated in post)
Evidence span: “This is a great sign for the #Bitcoin and #Crypto markets and should fuel a green week ahead of us.”
Confidence: 81%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record