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Leaderboard / @CryptoMichNL / 2081446703446835380:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Jul 2026, 18:29 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Cr

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

This build-up of $ETH is about to break towards $2,000+ for the first time in more than two months. https://t.co/Qx0DxT0QZK

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,913 at 26 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,937 at 27 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 1937.19 / 1912.74 − 1 = +1.28%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.28% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “This build-up of $ETH is about to break towards $2,000+ for the first time in more than two months.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$1,913

Evaluation price

$1,937

Move

+1.28%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 23:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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