Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,967 at 27 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,886 at 28 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 1886.48 / 1966.76 − 1 = -4.08%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -4.08% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology