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Leaderboard / @CryptoMichNL / 2082191863633924368:ethereum

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 Jul 2026, 19:50 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Cr

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

$ETH continues to show strength, therefore carrying the rest of the markets alongside. It's back above 0.03 and I think it's going to be back above $2,000 fairly soon. Today was a dip for buying. https://t.co/gECGhulRXQ

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,920 at 28 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,887 at 29 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 1886.52 / 1920.17 − 1 = -1.75%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.75% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$ETH continues to show strength, therefore carrying the rest of the markets alongside.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$1,920

Evaluation price

$1,887

Move

-1.75%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 22:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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