Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Jul 2026, 10:08 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC

PlanB

@100trillionUSD

In reply to · 30 Jul 2026, 10:02 UTC · context given to the AI

@100trillionUSD The gold ratio comparison is the part people sleep on, if BTC ever gets to gold's ~$28T you're talking 20x from here.

@kryptosopus Indeed, and 20x from here would be the same as bitcoin growth of the last 10 years (from $3k to $60k), not unrealistic at all IMO.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,472 at 30 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,850 at 31 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 63850.42 / 64472.29 − 1 = -0.96%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.96% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@kryptosopus Indeed, and 20x from here would be the same as bitcoin growth of the last 10 years (from $3k to $60k), not unrealistic at all IMO.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3