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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2082863887393677745:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Jul 2026, 16:20 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

Flip $65,000 and Bitcoin full sends Let’s get a bullish August please

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,750 at 30 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $78,019 at 29 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 78019.47 / 64750.44 − 1 = +20.49%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +20.49% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 30 days (stated in post)
Evidence span: “Flip $65,000 and Bitcoin full sends”
Confidence: 72%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: correct

Baseline price

$64,750

Evaluation price

$78,019

Move

+20.49%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 23:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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