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Published 30 Jul 2026, 17:34 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC
Samson Mow
@Excellion
In reply to · 30 Jul 2026, 11:58 UTC · context given to the AI
BEST CASE SCENARIO: - @saylor @Excellion create panic that bitcoin is under attack and FUD that the chain is going to split - talking heads like @adam3us @BitcoinPierre @stephanlivera who don't touch code amplify the FUD - tourists, balance sheet "bitcoiners" and others panic sell their bags. - BIP110/RDTS UASF activates - [sidenote it's on track: 💥3 of the last 21💥 blocks now signal BIP110] - Bitcoin price crashes as FUD of "fork" and "chain split" reach main street investors. - real bitcoiners get to stack more sats at lower prices.It’s far more probable that nothing happens because no one cares about BIP110 and you were misled by a few. It’s far more likely that the 110 chain forks off and 1) the first block is invalidated by F2Pool or 2) the hashrate behind it shuts off within the first 24 hrs because they can’t bear the losses. Then everyone moves on with their lives because now they have learned firsthand how Bitcoin works.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63177.42 / 64809.66 − 1 = -2.52%d × r = +2.52% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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