Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,917 at 30 Jul 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,860 at 31 Jul 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 1860.1 / 1916.88 − 1 = -2.96%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.96% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology