Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,850 at 31 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,998 at 1 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 62998.16 / 63850.42 − 1 = -1.33%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.33% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology