Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,998 at 1 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $78,676 at 31 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 78675.62 / 62998.16 − 1 = +24.89%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -24.89% against a neutral band of ±5.18% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology