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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2083805614304547299:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Aug 2026, 06:42 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

Too many are so impatient for the low to be in Bitcoin right now. It is coming legends, just be patient. We will catch the lows and the pumps with it

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,410 at 2 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,543 at 3 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC.
r = 62542.64 / 63409.74 − 1 = -1.37%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.37% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Too many are so impatient for the low to be in Bitcoin right now.”
Confidence: 83%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$63,410

Evaluation price

$62,543

Move

-1.37%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 23:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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