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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2084634444346888599:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 4 Aug 2026, 13:35 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$BTC / $USD - Update Still something to consider, but today we look bullish so a push up to $64,600 minimum would make sense. https://t.co/jDgnM3yrFB

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,621 at 4 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $63,919 at 4 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 63918.95 / 63620.84 − 1 = +0.47%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.47% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 4 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$BTC / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: correct

Baseline price

$63,621

Evaluation price

$63,919

Move

+0.47%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 22:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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