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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2085701001613373781:ethereum

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 Aug 2026, 12:14 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$ETH so this looks...good again? It's mostly going to go as bitcoin goes and the 200d EMA lurks above. But this should do well if bitcoin is stable, probably 2.5k or higher https://t.co/Qi6J8b5lfA

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,931 at 7 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,918 at 8 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 1918.11 / 1930.99 − 1 = -0.67%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.67% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH so this looks...good again?”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$1,931

Evaluation price

$1,918

Move

-0.67%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 16:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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