Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,907 at 7 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,083 at 8 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 65082.74 / 64906.86 − 1 = +0.27%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.27% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology