Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,911 at 7 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,922 at 8 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 1922.48 / 1911.01 − 1 = +0.60%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.60% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology