Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 8 Aug 2026, 23:44 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC

Samson Mow

@Excellion

In reply to · 8 Aug 2026, 22:49 UTC · context given to the AI

On 8/8 @Excellion wished for bitcoin and reach 1.0M. I was the 8th retweet, someone liked it for the 108th time, and there were 8 comments at the time of the screenshot. Proof of work below. 1M Bitcoin will happen. https://t.co/I3ChhwTP7P

@Dannyseabird It was foretold.

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,909 at 9 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,849 at 10 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 64848.68 / 64908.71 − 1 = -0.09%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.09% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@Dannyseabird It was foretold.”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction