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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2086413131891274172:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Aug 2026, 11:23 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:25 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

🐳 A whale bought $86 million in Bitcoin. Big money is positioning for the next bull run! https://t.co/bNapjkoTY5

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,898 at 9 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,069 at 10 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
r = 65069.45 / 64898.44 − 1 = +0.26%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.26% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “🐳 A whale bought $86 million in Bitcoin.”
Confidence: 61%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

neutral

Baseline price

$64,898

Evaluation price

$65,069

Move

+0.26%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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