Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,956 at 10 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,171 at 11 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 64171.17 / 64956.26 − 1 = -1.21%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.21% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology