Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 14 Aug 2026, 12:22 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

Quoting · 9 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC · context given to the AI

$PUMP / $USD - Update Holding over 2380 will open up the pumps (Get it) to 3200 range high. https://t.co/703Pa7wFvd

$PUMP / $USD - Update Continues to my target. The one coin that has kept our portfolio up that i shared. https://t.co/905PABEraG https://t.co/0W2gOgHFoe

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PUMP price at or after publication, $0.002857 at 14 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.002799 at 15 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 0.0027986676867429575 / 0.0028566834295620865 − 1 = -2.03%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.03% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $PUMP ($PUMP)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$PUMP / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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