Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @CryptoMichNL / 2088910635404820558:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Aug 2026, 08:48 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Cr

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

If $ETH vs. $BTC isn't going to stall, I would assume we're going to see a run towards 0.03250 in the coming period. https://t.co/Kye3Kh0DBo

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,879 at 16 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,892 at 17 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 1892.39 / 1878.91 − 1 = +0.72%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.72% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “If $ETH vs.”
Confidence: 90%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: correct

Baseline price

$1,879

Evaluation price

$1,892

Move

+0.72%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction