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Leaderboard / @KookCapitalLLC / 2088964960252506356:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Aug 2026, 12:23 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

Ko

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

hype has been creeping upwards eventually you will see btc start to send and hype will teleport to ath you have been warned https://t.co/sbW62DDmqB

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,948 at 16 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,478 at 17 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 63478.25 / 62947.99 − 1 = +0.84%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.84% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “eventually you will see btc start to send and hype will teleport to ath”
Confidence: 72%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

neutral

Baseline price

$62,948

Evaluation price

$63,478

Move

+0.84%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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