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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2089049634048020691:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:24 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

Bitcoin has broken out from a 6-day downtrend. Let's see if this Low-liquidity Sunday breakout holds. https://t.co/KqyyNc5Ivu

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,074 at 16 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,381 at 17 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 64380.58 / 63074.3 − 1 = +2.07%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.07% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin has broken out from a 6-day downtrend.”
Confidence: 74%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$63,074

Evaluation price

$64,381

Move

+2.07%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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