Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,905 at 17 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,901 at 18 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 1901.11 / 1905.21 − 1 = -0.22%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.22% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology