Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2089335937880981718:memecoin:$PUMP

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Aug 2026, 12:58 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$PUMP / $USD - Update Target is very near on PUMP now. https://t.co/lBy5T8Fkbb

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PUMP price at or after publication, $0.002888 at 17 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.002821 at 18 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 0.0028213893951061822 / 0.002888446487054453 − 1 = -2.32%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.32% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $PUMP ($PUMP)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$PUMP / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 68%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$0.002888

Evaluation price

$0.002821

Move

-2.32%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction