Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $ETHFI price at or after publication, $0.5 at 17 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.4824 at 18 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.482420052003471 / 0.500036008428748 − 1 = -3.52%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.52% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology