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Leaderboard / @CryptoMichNL / 2089380287570395327:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Aug 2026, 15:54 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Cr

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Ladies and gentlemen, It's time to be getting excited about the markets again. #Bitcoin is about to hit $65,000.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,141 at 17 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,812 at 18 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 64811.7 / 64141.47 − 1 = +1.04%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.04% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#Bitcoin is about to hit $65,000.”
Confidence: 93%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$64,141

Evaluation price

$64,812

Move

+1.04%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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