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Published 18 Aug 2026, 13:30 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
Quoting · 13 Aug 2026, 16:17 UTC · context given to the AI
#BTC Bitcoin would enjoy aggressive buy-back at the 200-week SMA in July but that aggression is no longer evident this month Which ties in with what I mentioned 1.5 months ago: "The SMA could act as support in the short-term to enable limited upside relief this July before failing as support mid-term" Bitcoin indeed enjoyed support in the short-term from 200-week SMA in July but it appears that support is faltering this August $BTC #Bitcoin#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed below the ~$63k level (orange horizontal) which technically positions price for a bearish retest of this level Of course, price is pressing beyond this level right now But at the same time Bitcoin is finding resistance at the 200-week SMA (orange) as well as the newfound Lower High (black) where price upside wicked into A Weekly Close below the orange horizontal later this week would likely confirm the bearish retest and a rejection from the 200-week SMA is how BTC would get there $BTC #BitcoinView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 78633.34 / 64158.17 − 1 = +22.56%d × r = -22.56% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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