Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,917 at 18 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,085 at 19 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 2084.64 / 1916.5 − 1 = +8.77%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -8.77% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology