Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $ETHFI price at or after publication, $0.4838 at 18 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.5048 at 19 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.504769994754716 / 0.483786207161103 − 1 = +4.34%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -4.34% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology