Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2090055596502380834:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 Aug 2026, 12:37 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$ETH / $USD - Update I am looking for us to continue up from here if we can hold that support zone we are coming off. C'mon bulls. https://t.co/gGnLf78ac0

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,936 at 19 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,289 at 20 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 2288.6 / 1935.51 − 1 = +18.24%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +18.24% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 65%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$1,936

Evaluation price

$2,289

Move

+18.24%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction