Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,218 at 19 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,318 at 20 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 2317.82 / 2217.65 − 1 = +4.52%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -4.52% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology