Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,316 at 20 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,420 at 21 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 2419.82 / 2315.83 − 1 = +4.49%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -4.49% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology